2 guys with pretty solid amateur backgrounds.....
in green`s hometown...he`s 6`2" tall...and if he`s half as good as he talks,he`s gonna be a bear....
codrington`s people are rolling the dice here...they must feel like their young power puncher has a shot....
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i keep reading about pemberton becoming a boxer...at 38....outside of new england for the first time in his ENTIRE career...hasn`t fought in over a year to boot...
he`s going to give lacy angles?...and move?...
now he`s gonna become wilfred benitez?....i don`t think so..
i think he`s a glorified club fighter...seriously...he`s a big gary balletto...
a big puncher...that`s what he is...he hasn`t outboxed many guys that i`ve seen...every fight vs a warm body(a total of 3) either he`s on the deck...or his opponent...or both...
he has a big reach advantage...so lacy CAN`T stand outside...
the only hope for a distance fight is pemberton losing his nerve...as sheika did(for the first time in his career...that`s how hard lacy hits).....and clinching constantly....
even then,i have trouble seeing three times k.o.`ed pemberton going the route...
vs his real opponents(all of 2 guys..old charles brewer and sheika twice),he was either on the deck...hurt badly...getting standing 8 counts...or all of the above....
i suspect that when lacy hurts him,he`ll brutalize him....no standing 8`s in the ibf...or nevada...
i think lacy`s much quicker...and stronger...punching-wise and physically...more athletic....i`m more athletic than pemberton...
and hopefully the altitude will mess with the stiff new englander...
if you get a little scared,throw a few bucks on pemberton inside the distance....at +1090...or just pemberton wins at +700...
the other rub is that it`s in vegas...and i don`t trust vegas...or ratner...anything to do with vegas boxing...strange counts....strange weigh-ins.....lousy refs...blind judges...
i took under 8.5...then parlayed the lacy inside the distance with some solid winners(joe stevenson in the ultimate ,floyd jr...etc)
these obvious ones always scare me....i`m not going crazy...so i wouldn`t encourage anyone else to....
i also have to look at mabuza....at +225......he`s the goods...but,marquez can certainly knock him out...with one shot...so,it will be pins and needles throughout...
marquez is 30...and making the weight is tough for him...this is the toughest fight for him since austin...by far...he hasn`t fought outstanding offensive guys since austiin...smallish mauricio pastrana twice..heriberto ruiz....ricardo vargas and lousy pete frissina....
not a murderers row at bantam...
this is worth a wager at better than 2-1....
marquez is not only a big puncher...he`s an excellent technician...but,with a beatable chin...
he`ll have to be careful because he`ll have more coming back at him than at anytime since february of 2003....mabuza is slick...and well rounded..he has game...
we just don`t know whether he`s the new azumah nelson....or a level below the marquez` of the world...because he hasn`t seen anything like marquez....cruz carbajal is one dimensional...not a technician like marquez...and mabuza spanked him...with a broken hand to boot...
still...not to shabby..carbajal is a tough nut....
we`ll find out saturday...
somebody mentioned the under in the powell/vs the armenian bout..the armenian was stopped by sloppy nurhan suleymonoglu...and i`ve seen powell buzzed badly...plus money on the under 9.5?...might be worth a small play...
g.l.,fellas
